Heavy Rain on the way!!!

Heavy rain associated with a strong cold front is rapidly approaching Starkville from the west...  Rain has now entered the state of Mississippi and if I had to guess I would say it will reach Starkville around 2 or 3am...  We will quickly get well over a 1/2 inch of rain and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few places get over an inch...  We sure will feel the effects of the cold front as it will be at least 15 degrees colder tomorrow...  Today was such a beautiful sunny day as we got up to 64 degrees...  I hope everyone enjoy it too because we won't see the mid-60's again for a long time!  Again tomorrow will struggle to get into the upper 40's plus the winds will be gusting strong out of the north...  With some gust over 25mph it's going to feel pretty darn cold!!!  Friday the winds will lighten up but we still won't get much higher than 50 degrees...  Tomorrow night we should get into the upper 20's but I think we will hit at least 25 at GTR on Friday night.  

I have notice following Kansas City in the national forecast contest that this air mass has been verifying much colder as it makes its way across the US...  If you want to check out a cool site to help you see if an airmass is colder or warmer than average than I would highly recommend checking out the 10 day ensemble mean put out by environment Canada.  The chart shows you in standard deviations if the air is above or below average.  So lets say you saw a number of -2.0...  That would represent 2 standard deviations below normal which is some cold air!!!  This is one good way to help you identify as a forecaster if the air source is originating warmer or colder than normal...  Of course you have understand which part of Canada the air is coming from...  Anyways I'll post a link if you want to check it out!

10 day ensemble mean