Great, More Rain!!!

This morning we got a quick 1" of rain at my house in West Starkville... Last nights 0z NAM didn't show much rain at all, however last nights 0z GFS did very well... It showed closer to .75" for us in Starkville and again it CRUSHED the 0z NAM... I don't know what's up with the NAM but it hasn't been preforming so well over the last 6 months or so... Doug Gillham always says, "never underestimate a warm front"... That was taught to him by one of his teachers and he has tried to instill that on us... Again 1.00" was higher than anyone predicted but considering how much rain we have had over the last 6 weeks I kind of think in these situations the extra moisture sort fed back on itself... You ever people say drought breeds drought, well I'm guessing IMO that extra moisture helps maximizes your rain potential...

Unfortunately A LOT more rain is on the way... Again we had 1" last night, about .33" on Tuesday, and the models are showing at least another inch of rain Friday late afternoon through around noon Saturday... The 0z NAM is showing 1.00-1.25"... The 18z Canadian (GEM Regional) is showing about 1.20"... The 18z GFS is also showing about 1.00-1.25"... The HPC is going with 1.00-1.25" as well... So I guess that's pretty good agreement!!! Bottom line is we don't need the rain but it looks like at least 1.00" is a safe bet this Friday/Saturday...

As the rain was coming down this morning by backyard was under at least 2 or 3 inches of water... That's NOT a good sign... It's getting to the point that flooding has to be a concern especially back in Arkansas/Louisiana where they could be looking at close to 5" of rain in some locations... That's just WAY too much rain considering how much rain we have had... At my house we have had over 22" in just under 6 weeks... And that's not even close to what some areas across the Deep South have recieved!!! The NWS in Jackson did a GOOD JOB addressing this flood threat in Arkansas/Louisiana on their 5:15am morning discussion!