The NHC now has a High Risk for development off the Carolina coast... A big change from yesterday night when there wasn't any risk shown... The only question left is whether the NHC will name the system... Honestly it's not going to matter to the citizens of South Carolina/North Carolina... You are still going to see strong tropical storm force conditions whether it is named or whether it's considered a glorified Nor Easter... I have been saying for a couple of days now that I truly believe this is going to be a warm cored system that should be named... Honestly it's already well on its way and should be really close by morning... Again tropical (warm cored/barotropic) cyclones weaken considerable when that make landfall... All the models are showing this which just proves to me that were dealing with a warm cored system... When you take a barotropic or warm cored system away from its heat source (warm water) it dies... This is not the case with a Nor Easter or baroclinic system... Again the citizens are going to see the same conditions either way but I personally believe it should be named Kyle...
You probably are thinking why Kyle, didn't you say the disturbance near Hispaniola should be named Kyle... Well I honestly thought it would be by now but the land interaction with Hispaniola is tearing it apart... Right now it looks really bad and I even wonder if it will get it's act together again... Even if it does it will be interesting to see if the Carolina system gets named first, which would mean the disturbance in the Caribbean would be named Laura... Of course this all depends on whether it can regenerate or if the system off the Carolina's gets named at all... It will be interesting to watch but if you live near Wilmington, NC expect strong tropical storm force conditions (60mph + winds) on Thursday afternoon into Friday morning!!!
Ps... Today is the 3 year anniversary of Hurricane Rita!!!
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