Tropical Activity in Late November?

Believe it or not you can and do get tropical activity in late November... People forget that the season doesn't end until November 30th... Also you can get hurricanes in December... It's rare but it has happened a few times before... Don't quote me, but I'm pretty sure there have been 5 December hurricanes in the last 120 years... This latest activity coincides with another upswing in the MJO... Or in other words the upward motion that travels around the globe has entered the Atlantic again... Funny it always seems to lead to tropical activity... I have said this a few times this year and I know some research has been done on MJO pulses and tropical activity, but I really think it's almost unbelievable how well it works.... Especially this year!!! Here is the discussion out of the NHC in Miami, FL on the current low risk...

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...  

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION...AND ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.  AS THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS
SLOWLY WESTWARD...IT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF PANAMA...
COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

$$  

FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG