One Two Punch???

I was going to write a detailed tropical discussion on Kyle but things are becoming more complex! Yesterday it looked to me that what will become Kyle would merge it's energy with a stalled out front off the eastern seaboard... However today it's looking more and more that two separate systems are imminent... The area of disturbed weather near Puerto Rico has still yet to be named Kyle... Hurricane hunters have flown into that area today and said there is a broad center of circulation... I feel confident as it moves north and northwest away from Puerto Rico and Hispaniola it will tighten that center of circulation and become Tropical Storm Kyle fairly quickly... The GFDL and HWRF both show Kyle moving north and northwest into the coast of New Jersey... While I was leaning towards North Carolina yesterday, because the energy associated with the stalled frontal boundary does not look like it will merge with Kyle, this scenario is not only possible but likely... Even with a minimal hurricane this could be big problem for Long Island... A LOT of water would funnel into that area due to the the shape of the coastline!




The stalled out frontal boundary is another problem in itself... You will start to see a transition as the shear continues to relax from a cold cored system to a warm cored system over the next couple of days... It should have enough time over water to become warm cored and head into South Carolina/North Carolina on Thursday night... The European and Canadian shows this and other models are starting to jump on board as well... It's funny because usually in these situations energy will bundle together to form one big storm... However in this situation it really looks like we will have a one two punch which is actually pretty darn rare to see... You usually don't see two tropical cyclones hitting the east coast less than 3 days apart... It has happened before, but again this is a very rare and interesting weather situation... I will go in more depth later, but first I want to watch everything start to go in motion... I'll post again tomorrow when we have a better idea on things... This is going to be VERY interesting to watch!