Tuesday, October 7, 2008

More Rain To Come...

As of 10pm Hilbun Hall located on the Campus of Mississippi State University recorded .83" of rain...  The funny part is we have missed most of the big rains where some places across the Deep South, especially along the Gulf coast states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida have seen over 10" of rain...  Of course that is not the norm across the south but still just to say anyplace received near a foot of rain today is very impressive...  As for us in Starkville we will continue to see off and on rain throughout tonight and tomorrow morning, so I feel strong in saying we should easily cross the 1" mark by the end of the event!  

On a side note tomorrow is a very tough day in the National Forecast Contest...  We are currently forecasting for the Jacksonville International Airport in Florida...  As I have said before we forecast 8 days for each city...  Until this point KJAX has been fairly straight forward which means it will come down to the next two days forecasting rain...  The frustrating part of this contest is the fact you are forecasting for a bucket in one specific location...  So unfortunately this is where LUCK comes in big time!  You could only be off by a few miles but yet be off by an inch of more...  This is especially true in coastal cities where convective events are near impossible to accurately forecast yet alone "guess" the exact amount of rain that will fall in your bucket!  I remember a couple years ago in Orlando when 3 or 4 miles was the difference between almost no rain and an inch of rain...  Anyways I hope we get LUCKY as a team because the next two days are huge!  I honestly think the contest is at least 40% luck!  But hey that's the nature of the beast...

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