I have been talking about a decent rain event for Starkville, MS and the rest of the south for the last few days... Well it looks like everything has come together for the rain to start around midday Tuesday and last into Wednesday night/Thursday morning... The recent 0z NAM QPF is showing between 1.25" and 1.50". I have been saying I think 1 inch is basically a lock for the Starville, MS region... Of course you never know for sure in weather but I think enough strong dynamics are coming together for a good fall rain event... We have a deep trough fighting against a strong subtropical high which will slow down the system and allow a more prolonged period of rain... We have a nice vort max with good PVA in the region for over 24 hours... There is some warm air advection which shows us PVA is the main driving force for our UVV's... We also have a strong LLJ of 40 knots at times coming out of the warm moist Gulf of Mexico... When you put this all together you get a nice rain event for us in Starkville... Again I look forward to it! There is nothing better then getting a good nights sleep when it's raining hard... Of course it's really tough to wake up on those type of days! :-)
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