Just wanted to give everyone a quick update here...
Ana needs to be watched... It's still getting blasted with dry air but if it can survive I think it may be a big problem for south Florida and especially a big problem if it makes it into the Gulf... The water temps are WARM so if the dry air and shear relax for any amount of time it won't take long for this system to feedback and explode... This is especially true the closer Ana gets to South Florida/Florida Straits/Gulf of Mexico... Again South Florida and especially the Gulf needs to watch this VERY closely!!!
What will be Bill soon is still the main threat... The European is still way too right in my opinion and the 6z/12z GFS was starting to come in line with my thinking of a Floyd like track... But then of course 18z GFS went back to being too far left... In the end I do think the GFS will be closer than the european but I still think the trough affects Bill enough to pull him into the Carolinas... See blog post below on teleconnections/pattern recognition to see why!
Also behind what will soon to be Bill is another impressive wave coming off Afrcia... This will likely develop as well... The models are quickly starting to catch onto this as things are beginning to get crazy in the tropics!!!
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